Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.144468 0.164364 0.186437 0.212817 0.243584 0.278449 0.321115
2025-12-28 0.114037 0.140779 0.173380 0.216389 0.272140 0.342651 0.439675
2026-01-04 0.095725 0.125330 0.163987 0.218887 0.296024 0.402330 0.563074
2026-01-11 0.083485 0.114498 0.157270 0.221751 0.318585 0.462040 0.697316
2026-01-18 0.075237 0.107334 0.153721 0.227375 0.344666 0.530063 0.857599
2026-01-25 0.067592 0.099695 0.147978 0.228145 0.362523 0.587500 1.012586
2026-02-01 0.061172 0.092911 0.142358 0.227810 0.377850 0.642661 1.175402
2026-02-08 0.055444 0.086423 0.136222 0.225428 0.388797 0.691453 1.337033
2026-02-15 0.050520 0.080617 0.130393 0.222541 0.398008 0.738175 1.505273
2026-02-22 0.047625 0.077816 0.129207 0.227600 0.422646 0.819114 1.767422
2026-03-01 0.043794 0.072989 0.123905 0.224214 0.430029 0.865907 1.963846
2026-03-08 0.040967 0.069621 0.120808 0.224553 0.444907 0.931379 2.223631
2026-03-15 0.038268 0.066277 0.117491 0.224220 0.458793 0.998600 2.511773
2026-03-22 0.036513 0.064497 0.116932 0.229466 0.485958 1.103157 2.937870
2026-03-29 0.034657 0.062340 0.115394 0.232409 0.508374 1.201138 3.380098
2026-04-05 0.032994 0.060387 0.114035 0.235529 0.531741 1.306969 3.886744
2026-04-12 0.031762 0.059157 0.113995 0.241568 0.563388 1.442798 4.548044
2026-04-19 0.030149 0.057013 0.111828 0.242395 0.581882 1.546133 5.139371
2026-04-26 0.028573 0.054807 0.109302 0.242036 0.597204 1.644064 5.754605
2026-05-03 0.026953 0.052373 0.106047 0.239482 0.606122 1.724745 6.339337
2026-05-10 0.025428 0.050015 0.102741 0.236388 0.613036 1.801056 6.943724
2026-05-17 0.024648 0.049186 0.102779 0.241811 0.645747 1.972255 8.064397
2026-05-24 0.023292 0.046997 0.099506 0.238180 0.650726 2.048995 8.779682